Prof. Johnny C. L. CHAN

Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University

Chair Professor of Atmospheric Science

Professor Johnny Chan obtained his bachelor and master degrees in physics from the University of Hong Kong and his Ph.D. in atmospheric science from Colorado State University in the US. After two years as a US National Research Council Post-doctoral Research Associate at the US Naval Postgraduate School, he stayed there as an Adjunct Research Professor for one year. He then returned to Hong Kong and joined the then Royal Observatory Hong Kong as a Scientific Officer. In 1989, he began his academic career as a Senior Lecturer at the then City Polytechnic of Hong Kong (now the City University of Hong Kong) where he is now Chair Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre. He was also the Founding Dean of the School of Energy and Environment of City University of Hong Kong, serving from the founding of the School in July 2009 to July 2015. Between 2002 and 2008, he was also the Director of the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorological Administration.

Prof. Chan is internationally renowned in the research areas of typhoons and monsoons. Recently, he has been working on the problem of global warming and its relationship with typhoon activity, as well as on tropical cyclone and monsoon climate. He has published over 170 international journal articles and given more than 200 invited talks and conference papers. According to the Essential Science Indicators, he ranks the top in the world in the number of SCI-listed journal articles related to tropical cyclones, and is the ninth most-cited author in this field during the 1996-2006 period.

Prof. Chan is currently a member of the Tropical Meteorology Research Working Group of the World Meteorological Organization and the Chair of its Tropical Cyclone Panel. He is also an associate editor of three journals: International Journal of Climatology, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters and Acta Meteorological Sinica, and a member of the Editorial Board of World Scientific Series on Earth System Science in Asia. In Hong Kong, he is a member of the Strategic Advisory Committee of the Hong Kong Observatory, and an advisor of the GreenPlus Programme and a member of the Advisory Group on Advanced Metering Infrastructure, both of China Light & Power Company Limited.

Prof. Chan’s honours include Honorary Fellow of the UK Energy Institute, Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, recipient of the International Journal of Climatology Award of the Royal Meteorological Society, Distinguished Meteorologist awarded by the Hong Kong Observatory, and a Senior Research Fellowship awarded by the Croucher Foundation

Publications

Books

Chan, J. C. L. and J. Kepert (Editors), 2010: Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones – From Science to Mitigation. World Scientific, 436pp.
Chang, C. P., J. C. L. Chan and J. T. Wang (Editors), 1998: Proceedings of the Third International Conference on East Asian and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate. World Scientific, 562pp.

Journal Articles

2014

Huang, W.-R. and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Dynamical downscaling forecasts of western North Pacific tropical cyclone genesis and landfall. Clim. Dyn., 42, 2227–2237.
Choi, Y., K.-S. Yun; K.-J. Ha, K.-Y. Kim, S.-J. Yoon and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Effects of asymmetric SST distribution on straight-moving Typhoon Ewiniar (2006) and recurving Typhoon Maemi (2003). Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3950-3967
Tang, C. K. and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Idealized simulations of the effect of Taiwan and Philippines topographies on tropical cyclone tracks. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 140, 1578-1589.
Li, Y., K. K. W. Cheung and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Numerical study on the development of asymmetric convection and vertical wind shear during tropical cyclone landfall. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj2259
Chan, K. T. F. and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Impacts of initial vortex size and planetary vorticity on tropical cyclone size. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj2292
Li, Y., K. K. W. Cheung and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Modeling the effects of land-sea contrast on tropical cyclone precipitation under environmental vertical wind shear. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj2359
Chan, K. T. F. and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Impacts of vortex intensity and outer winds on tropical cyclone size impacts of initial vortex size and planetary vorticity on tropical cyclone size. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj2374
Tang, C. K. and J. C. L. Chan, 2014: Idealized simulations of the effect of local and remote topographies on tropical cyclone tracks. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI: 10.1002/qj.2498

2013

Chan, T F K and J. C. L. Chan, 2013: Angular momentum transports and synoptic flow patterns associated with tropical cyclone size change, Monthly Weather Review (in press)
Huang, W.-R. J. C. L. Chan and A. Y. M. Au-Yeung, 2013: Regional climate simulations of summer diurnal rainfall variations over East Asia and Southeast China. Clim. Dyn., 40, 1625–1642.
Liu K.S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2013: "Inactive period of Western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 1998-2011", Journal of Climate, 26(8), pp 2614-2630, 2013

2012

Ha, K J, Yoon, S J, Yun, K S, Kug, J S, Jang, Y S and J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Dependency of typhoon intensity and genesis locations on El Niño phase and SST shift over the western North Pacific", Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol 109, 2012, pp 383-395, doi: 10.1007/s00704-012-0588-z.
Yun, K S, J. C. L. Chan and Ha, K J, 2012: "Effects of SST magnitude and gradient on typhoon tracks around East Asia: A case study for Typhoon Maemi (2003)", Atmospheric Research, Vol 109-110, June 2012, pp 36-51, doi:
Chan, T F K and J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Size and strength of tropical cyclones as inferred from QuikSCAT data", Monthly Weather Review, Vol 140, March 2012, pp 811-824, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05062.1.
Goh, A Z C and J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Variations and prediction of the annual number of tropical cyclones affecting Korea and Japan", Int'l J Climatology, 32(2), February 2012, pp 178-189, doi: 10.1002/joc.2258.
Huang, W and J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Seasonal variation of diurnal and semidiurnal rainfall over Southeast China", Climate Dynamics, 39(7-8), pp 1913-1927, 2012
Cheng, Camilla K. M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Impacts of land use Changes and synoptic forcing on the seasonal climate over the Pearl River Delta of China ", Atmospheric Environment, Vol 60, pp 25-36, 12/2012
Ng, Eric K. W., J. C. L. Chan, 2012: "Geophysical Applications of Paritial Wavelet Coherence and Multiple Wavelet Coherence", Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 29(12), pp 1845-1853, 06/7/2012.
LI, Cheuk Yin, Zhou, Wen, J. C. L. Chan and Huang, Ping, 2012: "Asymmetric Modulation of Western North Pacific Cyclogenesis by the Madden–Julian Oscillation under ENSO Conditions", Journal of Climate, Vol 25, pp 5374-5385, August 2012.

2011

Chen, P, Yu, H and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: "A western north pacific tropical cyclone intensity prediction scheme", Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 25(5), 2011, pp 611-624, doi: 10.1007/s13351-011-0506-9.
Au-yeung, A Y M and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: "Potential use of a regional climate model in seasonal tropical cyclone activity predictions in the western North Pacific", Climate Dynamics, Vol 39, 2012, pp 783-794, published online 18
Huang, W and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: "Seasonal variation of diurnal and semidiurnal rainfall over Southeast China", Climate Dynamics, 2011, pp 1-15, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1236-5.
J. C. L. Chan, Liu, K S, Xu, M and Yang, Q, 2011: "Variations of frequency of landfalling typhoons in East China, 1450-1949", Int'l J Climatology, 8 August 2011, pp 1-5, doi: 10.1002/joc.2410.
Huang, W.-R. and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: Maintenance mechanisms for the early morning maximum rainfall over Southeast Asia. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. DOI:10.1002/qj.815.
Ng, K. W. E. and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: Interannual variations of tropical cyclone activity over the North Indian Ocean. Int'l J Climatology (in press).
Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: Interannual variation of Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity and seasonal forecast of tropical cyclone number in the Australian region. Int'l J Climatology (in press).
Goh, A. Z. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: Variations and prediction of the annual number of tropical cyclone affecting Korea and Japan. Int'l J Climatology (in press).
Huang, W.-R., S.-Y. Wang and J. C. L. Chan, 2011: Discrepancies between global reanalyses and observations in the interdecadal variations of Southeast Asian cold surge. Int'l J Climatology, DOI:10.1002/joc.2234
Mao, J., J. C. L. Chan and G. Wu, 2011: Interannual variations of early summer monsoon rainfall over South China under different PDO backgrounds. Int'l J Climatology, 31, 847-862.

2010

Au-Yeung, A. Y. M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: The effect of a river delta and coastal roughness variation on a landfalling tropical cyclone. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D19121, doi:10.1029/2009JD013631.
Huang, W.-R., J. C. L. Chan and S.-Y. Wang, 2010: A planetary-scale land-sea breeze circulation in East Asia and the western North Pacific. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI:10.1002/qj.663
Mao, J., J. C. L. Chan and G. Wu, 2010: Interannual variations of early summer monsoon rainfall over South China under different PDO backgrounds. Int’l J Climatology DOI:10.1002/joc.2129.
Szeto, K. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: Structure and track changes of tropical cyclones during landfall: Beta-plane simulations. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27, 1143-1150, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-9136-x.
Chand, S. S., K. J. E. Walsh and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: A Bayesian regression approach to seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones affecting the Fiji region. J. Climate, 23, 3425-3445.
Zhou, L.-T., C.-Y. Tam, W. Zhou, and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: Influence of South China Sea SST and the ENSO on winter rainfall over South China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27, 832-844, doi: 10.1007/s00376–009-9102-7.
Knutson., T. R., J. L. McBride, J. C. L. Chan, K. Emanuel, G. Holland, C. Landsea, I. Held, J. P. Kossin, A. K. Srivastava and M. Sugi, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nature Geoscience,3,157-163, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
Goh, A. Z. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: An improved statistical scheme for the prediction of tropical cyclones making landfall in South China. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 587-593.
Chow, K. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: A dual-scheme approach of cumulus parameterization for simulating the Asian summer monsoon. Meteor. Appl., DOI: 10.1002/met.169.
Goh, A. Z. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity in the South China Sea. Int’l J Climatology, 30, 827-843, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1943.
Yu, Z., X. Liang, H. Yu and J. C. L. Chan, 2010: Mesoscale vortex generation and merging Process: A case study associated with a post-landfall tropical depression. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27, 356-370, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-8091-x.
Wang, L., W. Chen, W. Zhou, J. C. L. Chan, D. Barriopedro and R.-H. Huang, 2010: Effect of mid 1970s climate shift on the relationship between wintertime Ural blocking circulation and East Asian climate. Int’l J Climatology, 30, 153-158, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1876.

2009

Chow, K. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2009: Diurnal variations of circulation and precipitation in the vicinity of the Tibetan Plateau in early summer. Climate Dynamics, 32, 55-73.
Chan, J. C. L. and M. Xu, 2009: Interannual and interdecadal variations of landfalling tropical cyclones in East Asia. Part I: Time series analysis. Int’l J Climatology, 29, 1285-1293, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1782.
Yokoi, S., Y. N. Takayabu and J. C. L. Chan, 2009: Tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific simulated in medium-resolution coupled general circulation models. Climate Dynamics, 33, 665-683, DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0593-9.
Kubota, H. and J. C. L. Chan, 2009: Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L12802, doi:10.1029/2009GL038108.
Gu, W., C. Li, W. Li, W. Zhou, and J. C. L. Chan, 2009: Interdecadal unstationary relationship between NAO and east China's summer precipitation patterns, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L13702, doi:10.1029/2009GL038843.
Chan, J. C. L., 2009: Thermodynamic control on the climate of intense tropical cyclones. Proc. Roy. Soc. A., 465, 3011-3021, doi: 10.1098/rspa.2009.0114.
Yun, K.-S., B. Ren, K.-J. Ha, J. C. L. Chan and J.-G. Jhun, 2009: The 30-60 day oscillation in the East Asian summer monsoon and its time-dependent association with the ENSO. Tellus, 61A, 565-578.
Tong, H. W., J. C. L. Chan and W. Zhou, 2009: The role of MJO and mid-latitude fronts in the South China Sea summer monsoon onset. Climate Dynamics, 32, 827-841, DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0490-7.
Zhou, W., J. C. L. Chan, W. Chen, J. Ling, J. G. Pinto and Y. Shao, 2009: Synoptic-scale controls of persistent low temperature and icy weather over southern China in January 2008. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 3978-3991.

2008

Yuan, Y., W. Zhou, J. C. L. Chan and C. Li, 2008: Impacts of basin-wide Indian Ocean SSTA on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset. Int’l J Climatology, 28, 1579-1587.
Wada, A. and J. C. L. Chan, 2008: Relationship between typhoon activity and upper ocean heat content. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L17603, doi:10.1029/2008GL035129.
Chan, J. C. L., 2008: A simple seasonal forecast update of tropical cyclone activity. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 1016-1021.
Yuan, Y., J. C. L. Chan, W. Zhou and C. Li, 2008: Decadal and interannual variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 25, 856-866.
Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2008: Interdecadal variability of western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 21, 4464-4476.
Shi, X., J. C. L. Chan, K. C. Chow, and Y. Ding, 2008: Effects of upstream surface heat fluxes on the evolution of the South China Sea summer monsoon. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 100, 303-325.
Chow, K. C., H.-W. Tong and J. C. L. Chan, 2008: Water vapor sources associated with the early summer precipitation over China. Climate Dynamics, 30, 497-517.
Wong, M. L. M., J. C. L. Chan and W. Zhou, 2008: A simple empirical model for estimating the intensity change of tropical cyclones after landfall along the South China coast. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 47, 326-338.
Chow, K. C., J. C. L. Chan, X. Shi, Y. Liu and Y. Ding, 2008: Time-lagged effects of spring Tibetan Plateau soil moisture on the monsoon over China in early summer. Int’l J Climatology, 28, 55-67.
Chan, J. C. L., 2008: Decadal variations of intense typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific. Proc. Royal Soc. A, 464, 249–272.

2007

Zhou, W., X. Wang, T. J. Zhou, C. Li and J. C. L. Chan, 2007: Interdecadal variability of the relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and ENSO. Meteor. Atmos. Phys, 98, 283-293.
Wong, M. L. M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2007: Modeling the effects of land-sea roughness contrast on tropical cyclone winds. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 3249-3264.
Liu, K. S., J. C. L. Chan, W. C. Cheng, S. L. Tai and P. W. Wong, 2007: Distribution of convection associated with tropical cyclones making landfall along the South China coast. Meteor. Atmos. Phys, 97, 57-68.
Yu, H., W. Huang, Y. H. Duan, J. C. L. Chan, P. Y. Chen and R. L. Yu, 2007: A simulation study on pre-landfall erratic track of typhoon Haitang (2005). Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 97, 189-206.
Chan, J. C. L., 2007: Interannual variations of intense typhoon activity. Tellus, 59A, 455-460.
Liang, X., B. Wang, J. C L Chan, Y. Duan, D. Wang, Z. Zeng and L. Ma, 2007: Tropical cyclone forecasting with model-constrained 3D-Var. Part II: Improved cyclone track forecasting using AMSU-A, QuikSCAT and cloud-drift wind data. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 155-165.
Liang, X., B. Wang, J. C L Chan, Y. Duan, D. Wang, Z. Zeng and L. Ma, 2007: Tropical cyclone forecasting with model-constrained 3D-Var. Part I: Description. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 147-153.
Ma, L., J. C. L. Chan, N. E. Davidson and J. Turk, 2007: Initialization with diabatic heating from satellite-derived rainfall. Atmospheric Research, 85, 148-158.
Zhou, W. and J. C. L. Chan, 2007: ENSO and the South China Sea summer monsoon onset. International J Climatology, 27, 157-167.

2006

Chow, K. C., J. C. L. Chan, J. S. Pal and F. Giorgi, 2006: Convection suppression criteria applied to the MIT cumulus parameterization scheme for simulating the Asian summer monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L24709, doi:10.1029/2006GL028026.
Yu, H., J. C. L. Chan, Y. Duan and M. D. Goldberg, 2006: Intensity estimation of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific with AMSU-A temperature data. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 519-527.
Wang, D., X. Liang, Y. Duan and J. C. L. Chan, 2006: Impact of four-dimensional variational data assimilation of cloud-drift wind data on tropical cyclone track forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 663-669.
Zhou, W., C. Li and J. C. L. Chan, 2006: The interdecadal variations of the summer monsoon rainfall over South China. Meteor. Atmos. Phys. 93, 165–175.
Zhou, X. and J. C. L. Chan, 2006: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a baroclinic model. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 23, 342-354.
Chow, K. C., Y. Liu, J. C. L. Chan and Y. Ding, 2006: Effects of surface heating over Indochina and India landmasses on the summer monsoon over South China. International J Climatology, 26, 1339-1359.
Chan, J. C. L., 2006: Comments on “Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment”. Science, 311, 1713b.
Wong, M. L. M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2006: Tropical cyclone motion in response to land surface friction. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 1324-1337.
Guan, B. and J. C. L. Chan, 2006: Intraseasonal variations of the summer monsoon over the western North Pacific: Structure and evolution. J. Climate, 19, 622-629.
Liu, Y., J. C. L. Chan, K. C. Chow and Y. Ding, 2006: Ten-year climatology of summer monsoon over South China and its surroundings simulated from a regional climate model. International J. Climatology, 26, 141-157.

2005

Shi, X., J. C. L. Chan, K. C. Chow, and Y. Ding, 2005: Effects of the Indo-China Peninsular heat fluxes on the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 19, 457-468.
Liang, X. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: The effects of the full Coriolis force on the structure and motion of a tropical cyclone. Part I: Effects due to vertical motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3825-3830.
Zhou, W. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Intraseasonal oscillations and the South China Sea summer monsoon onset. International J. Climatology, 25, 1585-1609.
Zhou, W., J. C. L. Chan and C. Li, 2005: South China Sea summer monsoon onset in relation to the off-equatorial ITCZ. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 22, 665-676.
Chan, J. C. L. and K. K. Li, 2005: Ensemble Forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a barotropic model. Part III: Combining perturbations of the environment and the vortex. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 90, 109-126.
Kwok, H. Y. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: The influence of uniform flow on tropical cyclone intensity change. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3193–3212.
Zeng, Z., Y. Duan, X. Liang, L. Ma and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: The effect of three-dimensional variational data assimilation of QuikScat data on the numerical simulation of typhoon track and intensity. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 22, 534-544.
Chan, J. C. L., 2005: Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 89, 143-152.
Ding, Y. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: The East Asia summer monsoon: an overview. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 89, 117-142.
Mao, J. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Intraseasonal variability of the South China Sea summer monsoon. J. Climate, 18, 2388–2402.
Tong, H., A. Walton, J. Sang and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Numerical simulation of the urban boundary layer over the complex terrain of Hong Kong. Atmos. Environ., 39, 3549-3563.
Chan, J. C. L. and W. Zhou, 2005: PDO, ENSO and the summer monsoon rainfall over South China. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L08810, doi:10.1029/2004GL022015.
Wu, M. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Observational relationships between summer and winter monsoons over East Asia. Part II: Results. International J. Climatology 25, 453-468.
Wu, M. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Observational relationships between summer and winter monsoons over East Asia. Part I: Basic framework. International J. Climatology, 25, 437-451.
Chan, J. C. L., 2005: The physics of tropical cyclone motion. Annual Rev. Fluid Mechanics, 37, 99-128.

2004

Chan, J. C. L., Y. Liu, K. C. Chow, Y. Ding, W. K. M. Lau and K. L. Chan, 2004: Design of a regional climate model for the simulation of South China summer monsoon rainfall. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 82, 1645-1665.
Chan, J. C. L. and K. S. Liu, 2004: Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective. J. Climate, 17, 4590-4602.
Zhang, Z., J. C. L. Chan and Y. Ding, 2004: Characteristics, evolution and mechanisms of the summer monsoon onset over Southeast Asia. International J Climatology, 24, 1461-1482.
Chan, J. C. L., K. S. Liu, S. E. Ching and E. S. T. Lai, 2004: Asymmetric distribution of convection associated with tropical cyclones making landfall along the South China coast. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2410-2420.
Wong, M. L. M. and J. C. L. Chan, 2004: Tropical cyclone intensity in vertical wind shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1859-1876.
Mao, J., J. C. L. Chan and G. Wu, 2004: Relationship between the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon and the structure of the Asian subtropical anticyclone. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 82, 845-859.
Duan, Y., R. Wu, H. Yu, X. Liang and J. C. L. Chan, 2004: The role of beta effect and a uniform current on tropical cyclone intensity. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 21, 75-86.

2003

Chan, J. C. L. and C. K. M. Yip, 2003: Interannual variations of tropical cyclone size over the western North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(24), 2267, DOI:10.1029/2003GL018522.
Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2003: Climatological characteristics and seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones making landfall along the South China coast. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1650-1662.
Chan, J. C. L. and X. Liang, 2003: Convective asymmetries associated with tropical cyclone landfall. Part I: F-plane simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 1560-1576.

2002

Liu, H., J. Sang, B. Zhang, J. C. L. Chan, A. Y. S. Cheng and H. Liu, 2002: Influences of structures on urban ventilation: A numerical experiment. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 19, 1045-1054.
Xu, J. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: Relationship between the planetary-scale circulation over East Asia and the intensity of the South Asian summer monsoon. Geophys. Res. Letters, 29 (18), 1866, DOI:10.1029/2002GL014918.
Xu, J. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: Interannual and interdecadal variability of winter precipitation over China in relation to global sea level pressure anomalies. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 19, 914-926.
Liu, Y., J. C. L. Chan, J. Mao and G. Wu, 2002: The role of Bay of Bengal convection in the onset of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2731-2744.
Chan, J. C. L., W. Ai, and J. Xu, 2002: Mechanisms responsible for the maintenance of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 1103-1113.
Chan, J. C. L., 2002: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclones. World Meteorological Organization Bulletin, 51, 247-252.
Liu, H. P. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: Boundary-Layer dynamics associated with a severe air-pollution episode in Hong Kong. Atmospheric Environment, 36, 2013-2025.
Wang, B. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: How ENSO regulates tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 1643-1658.
Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: Synoptic flow patterns associated with small and large tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2134-2142.
Chan, J. C. L., F. M. F. Ko and Y. M. Lei, 2002: Relationship between potential vorticity tendency and tropical cyclone motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1317-1336.
Liu, H. P. and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: An investigation of air-pollutant patterns under sea-land breezes during a severe air-pollution episode in Hong Kong. Atmospheric Environment, 36, 591-601.

2001

Chan, J. C. L., 2001: Dynamics of tropical cyclone motion – a review and some recent results. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (Special volume).
Nagata, M., L. Leslie, Y. Kurihara, R. L. Elsberry, M. Yamasaki, H. Kamahori, R. Abbey Jr., K. Bessho, J. Calvo, J. C. L. Chan, P. Clark, M. Desgagne, S.-Y. Hong, D. Majewski, P. Malguzzi, J. McGregor, H. Mino, A. Murata, J. Nachamkin, M. Roch and C. Wilson, 2001: Meeting summary: Third COMPARE Workshop: A model intercomparison experiment of tropical cyclone intensity and track prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 2007-2020.
Chan, J. C. L., J. E. Shi and K. S. Liu, 2001: Improvements in the seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. Wea. Forecasting, 16, 491-498.
Xu, J. and J. C. L. Chan, 2001: First transition of the Asian summer monsoon in 1998 and the effect of the Tibet - tropical ocean thermal contrast. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 79, 241-253.
Xu, J. and J. C. L. Chan, 2001: The role of the Asian/Australian monsoon system in the onset time of El Niño events. J. Climate, 14, 418-433.
Liu H. P., J. C. L. Chan and A. Y. S. Cheng, 2001: Internal boundary layer structure under sea-breeze conditions in Hong Kong. Atmospheric Environment, 35, 683-692.
Chan, J. C. L., Y. Duan and L. K. Shay, 2001: Tropical cyclone intensity change from a simple ocean-atmosphere coupled model. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 154-172.

2000

Chan, J. C. L., Y. Wang and J. Xu, 2000: Dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics associated with the onset of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 78, 367-380.
Chan, J. C. L., 2000: Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events. J. Climate, 13, 2960-2972.
Chan, J. C. L. and J. Xu, 2000: Physical mechanisms responsible for the transition from a warm to a cold state of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 13, 2056-2071.
Chan, J. C. L. and J. E, Shi, 2000: Frequency of typhoon landfall over South China during the period 1470-1931. Int’l J. Climatol., 20, 183-190.

1999

Chan, J. C. L. and J. E, Shi, 1999: Prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over South China. Int’l J. Climatol., 19, 1255-1265.
Liu, K. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Size of tropical cyclones as inferred from ERS-1 and ERS-2 data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2992-3001.
Cheung, K. K. W. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a barotropic model. Part II: Perturbations of the vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2617-2640.
Lu, E. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: A unified monsoon index for South China. J. Climate, 12, 2375-2385.
Cheung, K. K. W. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a barotropic model. Part I: Perturbations of the environment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 1229–1243.
Li, Y. S. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Momentum transports associated with tropical cyclone recurvature. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 1021–1037.
Chung, K. K., J. C. L. Chan, C. N. Ng, K. S. Lam and T. Wang, 1999: Synoptic conditions associated with high carbon monoxide episodes at a coastal station in Hong Kong. Atmos. Environ., 33, 3087-3095.
Chan, J. C. L. and R. H. F. Kwok, 1999: Tropical cyclone genesis in a global NWP model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 611-624.

1998

Chan, J. C. L., J. E. Shi and C. M. Lam, 1998: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific and the South China Sea. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 997-1004.
Chan, J. C. L. and K. K. W. Cheung, 1998: Characteristics of the asymmetric circulation associated with tropical cyclone motion. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 65, 183-196.

1997

So, C. H. and J. C. L. Chan, 1997: Regional and synoptic-scale features associated with inactive periods of the summer monsoon over South China. Advances in Atmos. Sci., 14, 223-230.
Chan, J. C. L. and R. H. F. Kwok, 1997: A diagnostic study on the improvement in tropical cyclone motion prediction by the UK Meteorological Office Global Model. Meteor. Appl., 4, 1-9.
So, C. H. and J. C. L. Chan, 1997: An observational study of the onset of the summer monsoon over South China near Hong Kong. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 75, 43-57.
Wu, M. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 1997: Upper-level features associated with winter monsoon surges over South China. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 317-340.
Chan, J. C. L. and J. E. Shi, 1997: Application of projection-pursuit principal component analysis method to climate studies. Int’l. J. Climatol., 17, 103-113.
Chan, J. C. L., 1997: Evaluation of the performance of tropical cyclone track prediction models. Mausam, 48, 205-212.

1996

Chan, J. C. L. and J. E. Shi, 1996: Long-term trends and interannual variability in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 2765-2767.
Harr, P. A., R. L. Elsberry and J. C. L. Chan, 1996: Transformation of a large monsoon depression to a tropical storm during TCM-93. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2625-2643.

1995

Leung, K. M., T. J. Lin and J. C. L. Chan, 1995: LIDAR Measurement of wind velocity by tracking a single cloud movement. Chinese J. Lasers, A22, 842-846.
Heming, J. T., J. C. L. Chan and A. M. Radford, 1995: A new scheme for the initialisation of tropical cyclones in the UK Meteorological Office Global Model. Meteor. Appl., 2, 171-184.
Chan, J. C. L., 1995: Tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific in relation to the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2567-2571.
Chan, J. C. L., 1995: Prediction of annual tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific and the South China Sea. Int’l J. Climatol., 15, 1011-1019.
Chan, J. C. L., 1995: Performance of global and regional NWP models in their prediction of Typhoon Nat (1991). Wea. Forecasting, 10, 400-410.
Wu, M. C. and J. C. L. Chan, 1995: Surface features of winter monsoon surges over South China. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 662-680.
Chan, J. C. L. and A. C. K. Law, 1995: The interaction of binary vortices in a barotropic model. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 56, 135-155.

1980-1994

Chan, J. C. L., 1994: Prediction of the interannual variations of tropical cyclone movement over regions of the western North Pacific. Int’l J. Climatol., 14, 527-538.
Williams, R. T. and J. C. L. Chan, 1994: Numerical and analytical studies of the beta-effect in tropical cyclone motion. Part II: Zonal mean flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1065-1076.
Chan, J. C. L. and M. H. Ng, 1993: Morning showers over Hong Kong during summer. Bull. Hong Kong Meteor. Soc., 3, 14-25.
Chan, J. C. L. and W. K. Kay, 1993: Performance of the UK Meteorological Office Global Model in predicting the movement of tropical cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 326-336.
Chan, J. C. L. and T. K. Ng, 1991: Temperature variability over Hong Kong. Bull. Hong Kong Meteor. Soc., 1, No. 2, 14-25.
Chan, J. C. L., 1991: Research in the atmospheric sciences - a proposed agenda. Bull. Hong Kong Meteor. Soc., 1, No. 1, 3-6.
Chan, J. C. L. and G. J. Holland, 1989: Observing and forecasting tropical cyclones - Where next? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70, 1560-1563.
Chan, J. C. L. and H. Lam, 1989: Performance of the ECMWF model in predicting the movement of Typhoon Wayne (1986). Wea. Forecasting, 4, 234-245.
Chan, J. C. L., B. J. Williams and R. L. Elsberry, 1987: Performance of the Nested Tropical Cyclone Model as a function of five storm-related parameters. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1238-1252.
Schott, T. B., J. C. L. Chan and R. L. Elsberry, 1987: Further applications of empirical orthogonal functions of wind fields for tropical cyclone motion studies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1225-1237.
Curry, W. T., R. L. Elsberry and J. C. L. Chan, 1987: An objective technique for estimating present tropical cyclone locations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1073-1082.
Chan, J. C. L. and R. T. Williams, 1987: Analytical and numerical studies of the beta‑effect in tropical cyclone motion. Part I: Zero mean flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 1257-1265.
Peak, J. E., W. E. Wilson, R. L. Elsberry and J. C. L. Chan, 1986: Forecasting tropical cyclone motion using empirical orthogonal function representations of the environmental wind fields. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 2466-2477.
Chan, J. C. L., 1986: Supertyphoon Abby - An example of present track forecast inadequacies. Wea. Forecasting, 1, 113-126.
Chan, J. C. L., 1985: Tropical cyclone activity in the northwest Pacific in relation to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 599-606.
Chan, J. C. L., 1985: Identification of the steering flow for tropical cyclone motion using objectively-analyzed wind fields. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 106-116.
DeMaria, M. and J. C. L. Chan, 1984: Comments on "A numerical study of the interactions between two tropical cyclones". Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 1643-1645.
Chan, J. C. L., 1984: An observational study of the physical processes responsible for tropical cyclone motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 1036-1048.
Chan, J. C. L., W. M. Gray, 1982: Tropical cyclone movement and surrounding flow relationships. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1354-1374.
Chan, J. C. L., W. M. Gray and S. Q. Kidder, 1980: Forecasting tropical cyclone turning motion from surrounding wind and temperature fields. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 778-792.

Book Articles/Chapters

Chan, J. C. L., 2010: Global warming and tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific. Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Y. Charabi (Ed.), Springer, 37-46.
Chan, J. C. L., 2010: Global warming and tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific from an observational perspective. Climate Dynamics: Why Does Climate Vary?, D.-Z. Sun and F. Bryan (Eds.), Geophysical Monograph 189, American Geophysical Union, 193-205.
Harr, P. A. and J. C. L. Chan, 2005: Monsoon impacts on tropical cyclone variability. The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, C.-P. Chang, B. Wang, N.-C. G. Lau (Eds.), WMO/TD No. 1266, World Meteorological Organization, 512-542.
Chan, J. C. L., 2005: The East Asia winter monsoon. The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, C.-P. Chang, B. Wang, N.-C. G. Lau (Eds.), WMO/TD No. 1266, World Meteorological Organization, 139-155.
Chan, J. C. L. and C. Li, 2004: The East Asia winter monsoon. East Asian Monsoon, C.-P. Chang (Ed.), World Scientific, 54-106.
Chan, J. C. L., 2004: Variations in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific: From interdecadal to intraseasonal. Hurricanes and Typhoons Past, Present and Future, R. J. Murnane and K.-B. Liu (Eds.), Columbia Univ. Press, 269-296.
Chan, J. C. L., A. Y. S. Cheng, H. Liu and A. Walton, 2002: Air pollution considerations in town planning in Hong Kong. Building a Competitive Pearl River Delta Region: Cooperation, Coordination and Planning, A. G. O. Yeh, Y. F. Lee, T. Lee and N. D. Sze (Eds.), University of Hong Kong, 165-181.
Lu, E., Y. Ding and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Summer monsoon over East Asia during the period of GAME/HUBEX observation in 1998. Study of Energy and Water Cycle over Huaihe River Basin (I), B. Zhao and Y. Ding, (Eds.) China Meteorological Press, 28-34 (in Chinese with English abstract).
Büchner, A. G., J. C. L. Chan, S. L. Hung, and J.G. Hughes, 1999: A Meteorological Knowledge Discovery Environment. Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining: Theory and Practice, M. Bramer (Ed.), Institution of Electrical Engineers Practical Application and Computing, 204-226.
Cheung, K. K. W. and J. C. L. Chan, 1998: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion. Proceedings of the Third International Conference on East Asia and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate, C. P. Chang, J. C. L. Chan and J. T. Wang (Eds.), World Scientific, 295-304.
So, C. H. and J. C. L. Chan, 1998: Maintenance of the East Asian summer monsoon over South China. Proceedings of the Third International Conference on East Asia and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate, C. P. Chang, J. C. L. Chan and J. T. Wang (Eds), World Scientific, 161-169.
Heming, J. T., J. C. L. Chan and A. M. Radford, 1995: The initialisation of tropical cyclones in the UK Meteorological Office Global Model. ESCAP/WMO Tropical Cyclone Annual Review 1994, UNDP, Manila, 99-115.
Chan, J. C. L. and C. C. K. Fong, 1994: Interannual variability of tropical cyclones making landfall over China. ESCAP/WMO Tropical Cyclone Annual Review 1993, UNDP, Manila, 85-94.
Chan, J. C. L. and K. W. Ngan, 1993: The asymmetric flow associated with tropical cyclone motion. Proceedings of the Second International Conference on East Asia and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate, W. L. Kyle and C. P. Chang (Eds), World Scientific, 231-238.
Chan, J. C. L. and S. K. Chan, 1993: Do increased observations during SPECTRUM lead to improvements in tropical cyclone motion predictions? ESCAP/WMO Tropical Cyclone Annual Review 1992, UNDP, Manila, 3.3.1-3.3.10.
Chan, J. C. L., 1993: The interaction of binary vortices in a barotropic model. Tropical Cyclone Disasters, J. Lighthill, Z. Zheng, G. Holland and K. Emanuel (Eds), Peking Univ. Press, 296-305.
Chan, J. C. L., 1990: Tropical forecasting with global models. ECMWF Seminar on Trop.-Extratrop. Interactions, ECMWF, Reading, England, 377-401.
Chan, J. C. L. and K. P. Wong, 1989: The impact of the termination of aircraft reconnaissance on tropical cyclone warnings and forecasts in the western North Pacific. Proceedings of the First International Conference on East Asia and Western Pacific Meteorology and Climate, P. Sham and C. P. Chang (Eds), World Scientific, 462-473.

Contact Information

Office:	YEUNG-B5430
Phone:	+(852)-3442-7820
Fax:	+(852)-3442-0688
Email:	johnny.chan@cityu.edu.hk
Web:	Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre

Time slots for consultation

Research Interests

Tropical Meteorology
Climate Diagnostics and Modeling
Air Pollution