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Prof. SINGPURWALLA, Nozer D.

Chair Professor of Risk Analysis and Management

Contact Information

Office: AC1-P6630
Phone: +(852)-3442-2268
Email: nsingpur@cityu.edu.hk

Honors

  • Medal of Excellence – Rutgers University (2011)
  • Visiting Fellow, St. Hugh’s College, Oxford, England (Spring 2002)
  • Invited Professor, Université de Bretagne-Sud, Vannes, France (2002)
  • Visiting Professor, The Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM (Fall 2001)
  • Scholar in Residence, The Rockefeller Foundation, Bellagio (Italy) (1994)
  • Senior Research Fellow, ASA/NSF/NIST, at the National Institute for Standards and Technology (1993)
  • Oscar and Shoshana Trachtenberg Prize for Faculty Scholarship, The George Wash. Univ. (1992)
  • Wilks Award* for Contributions to Statistical Methodologies in Army Research (1984)
  • Fellow*, American Association for the Advancement of Science (1987)
  • Fellow*, American Statistical Association (1974)
  • Fellow*, Institute of Mathematical Statistics (1982)
  • Elected Member, International Statistical Institute (1977)
  • Member, Committee on EMP, Panel on Statistical Software, Committee on Aircraft Certification, and Committee on Biological Agent Risk Analysis, National Academy of Sciences
  • Member, Division Review Committee, Los Alamos National Labs. (2001), (2002); Committee Chair (2003), (2004)
  • Member, Threat Reduction Program Review Committee, Los Alamos National Labs. (2003)
  • Member, Committees on Pharmaceutical Science and Pharmacology, Food and Drug Administration (2001) to (2004)
  • Platinum Jubilee Speaker, Indian Science Congress (1993)
  • Keynote Speaker, Iranian Statistical Association (1992), (1998), (2002)
  • Keynote Speaker, South African Statistical Association (1991)
  • Keynote Speaker, U.S. Army Conference on Applied Statistics (2000)
  • Keynote Speaker, Mathematical Methods in Reliability (2011)
  • C.C. Garvin Visiting Endowed Professor of Computer Science and of Statistics, VPI and SU (1991)
  • Lukacs Professor, Bowling Green State University (2000)
  • Visiting Professor of Statistics and Visiting Scientist, Carnegie-Mellon University (AY 1989-1990)
  • Visiting Professor of Statistics, Stanford University (academic year 1978-1979)
  • Visiting Professor, Department of Statistics, The FSU, Tallahassee (January-June 1976)
  • Visiting Scholar, Department of Operations Research, Stanford University (Fall 1975)
  • Visiting Scholar, Department of Operations Research, UC Berkeley (1972, 1977, 1978, 1979)
  • Visiting Professor, The Bhabha Atomic Research Center, India (Summer 1975)
  • University Honors Scholar, New York University (1969); College Open Merit Scholar (1956-1959)
  • Alpha Pi Mu; Omega Rho; Sigma Xi; Mu Sigma Rho; Tau Beta Pi (Eminent Engineer)
  • Listed: American Men of Science, Community Leaders of America, Who’s Who in the South and Southwest, Who’s Who in the East, Who’s Who in Engineering, Who’s Who in Technology, Who’s Who in the World.

* Citations shown later.

POSITIONS HELD

2013 – Present Chair Professor, Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, and Department of Management Science, City University of Hong Kong
1969 – 2013 Distinguished Research Professor, Columbian College of Arts and Sciences, The George Washington University
1977 – 2012 Professor, Department of Statistics, and Department of Decision Sciences, The George Washington University
1981 – 2013 Director, Institute for Reliability and Risk Analysis, The George Washington University
2009 – 2010

Program Manager, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (Defense Sciences Office) (2009 - 2011)

Principal Investigator on:
  • Research contracts with the Office of Naval Research, Department of the Navy (1973-1974, 1974-1975, 1977-1978, 1978-1979, 1979-1980, 1980-1981, 1981-1984,1985-1988, 1989-1993, 1994-1996, 1999-2003, 2006-2009)
  • Research contract with the Army Research Office, Department of the Army (1980-1983, 1983-1986, 1987-1992, 1993-1996, 1996-1997 DURIP, 1997-2000, 1999 – 2004, 2005-2008, 2009-2012)
  • Research contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (1977-1978, 1978-1979)
  • Research contract with the Air Force Office of Scientific Research (1989-1990, 1991-1994, 1994, 1996)
  • Research contract with Aerospace Research Laboratories, Department of the Air Force (1974-1976)
  • Research contract with the National Science Foundation (1989-1990, 1992-1995, 2010-2013)
  • Research contracts with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission 1974-1976, 1978-1980, 1989-1992)
  • Research contract with Los Alamos National Laboratories (1981-1985)
  • Research contract with the Naval Air Systems Command, Department of the Navy (1981-1982, 1982-1983, 1983-1984, 1984-1985)
  • Research contract with the Automated Manufacturing Research Facility, National Bureau of Standards [now NIST] (1985-1986)
  • Research contract with The Institute for Defense Analyses (2002-2005)
  • Research contract with Coherent Communication (1998)
  • Research contract with General Motors Research Laboratories (1985-1986)
  • Research grant with Ford Motor Company (1989-1991)
Jan-Jun 1968 Instructor, University of California at Irvine, Extension
1969 p/t Associate Professor, California State College at Fullerton
1968 – 1970 Project Manager for an Air Force contract, Hughes Aircraft Company, Fullerton, California
1963 – 1968 Research Statistician, Western Electric Company, Princeton, New Jersey

MEMBERSHIP IN PROFESSIONAL SOCIETIES

  • American Association for the Advancement of Science (Fellow)
  • American Statistical Association (Fellow)
  • Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Fellow)
  • International Statistical Institute (Elected Member)
  • Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
  • International Society for Bayesian Analysis

PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES

  • Editor, Operations Research, Special Issue on Reliability (1984)
  • Discussion Forum Editor, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (1995-2005)
  • Coordinating Editor, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (1989-2000); Associate Editor (1983-1985)
  • Associate Editor, International Statistical Review (1999-2007)
  • Associate Editor, Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research (1992-1998)
  • Association Editor, Journal of the American Statistical Association (1990-1993), (2002-2006)
  • Associate Editor, The American Statistician (1985-1993)
  • Associate Editor, Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences (1986-1995)
  • Associate Editor, Letters in Probability and Statistics (1982-2006)
  • Associate Editor, Operations Research (1980-1982)
  • Associate Editor, Naval Research Logistics (1982-1992), (2004-2010)
  • Associate Editor, Technometrics (1978-1980)
  • Associate Editor, Aligarh Journal of Statistics (1981-2000)
  • Associate Editor, Institute of Industrial Engineering Transactions (1989-1993)
  • Associate Editor, TEST (Spanish Journal of Statistics and Operations Research, 1993-1998)
  • Associate Editor, Iranian Journal of Statistics (2002-Present)
  • Member, Subcommittee on Statistical Methods, American National Standards Institute Committee Z-1
  • Member, National Science Foundation Graduate Fellowship Evaluation Panel (1978)
  • Program Chairman, Eighth Annual Meeting (International) of the Society for Engineering Science; Environmental Engineering
  • Representative of American Statistical Association to Section P (Industrial Science) of American Association for Advancement of Science (1984-1987)
  • Lecturer, Visiting Lecturer Program in Statistics, Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (1989-1991)

CONSULTING SERVICES

  • U.S. Post Office, Technical Analysis Division, Washington, D.C.
  • Planning Research Corporation, Los Angeles, CA
  • Lockheed Aircraft Company, Palo Alto, CA
  • Mathematica, Inc., Princeton, NJ
  • Teknekron, Inc., Berkeley, CA
  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Division of Meteorology
  • Potomac Electric Power Company, Washington, D.C.
  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Mobile Source Enforcement Division
  • NUS Corporation, Rockville, MD
  • U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare (now DHHS), Bureau of medical Devices
  • National Institute on Drug Abuse
  • Research-Cottrell, Inc., Bound Brook, NJ
  • Bendix Research Laboratories, Southfield, MI
  • U.S. Air Force Logistics Management Center, Gunter AFB, AL
  • Maximus, Inc., McLean, VA
  • U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Advisory Committee on Nuclear Safeguards
  • Association of American Railroads, Washington, DC
  • Electronic Industries Association, Washington, DC
  • Novacor Medical Corporation, Oakland, CA (assessing the reliability of a heart-assist device)
  • Ford Motor Company, Dearborn, MI
  • Cummins Engine Company, Columbus, IN
  • RDA Logicon, Los Angeles, CA and Washington, DC
  • United States Marine Corps (Reliability of the AAAV)
  • Owens Corning, Science and Technology Center
  • Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM
  • The Institute for Defense Analysis, Washington, DC
  • Naval Surface Warfare Center, Indian Head, Md.

Statistical Expert Witness on Legal Cases

  • Department of Justice, Division of Taxation (collaborated with Dr. W. Edwards Deming on four tax cases)
  • Leaf, Sternklar and Drogin, New York, NY (a product quality and an age discrimination case)
  • Fried, Frank, et al, Washington, D.C. (product warranty claims case)
  • Latham and Watkins, Attorneys at Law, Washington, D.C. (two product reliability cases)
  • Staas and Halsey, Attorneys at Law, Washington, D.C. (a patent infringement suit involving biotechnology)
  • Shaw, Pittman, Potts and Trowbridge, Washington, D.C. (a lawsuit involving the reliability and maintainability of a large telecommunication system)
  • Fenwick and West, Palo Alto, Calif. (warranty analysis)
  • Charles R. Mann Associates Inc., Washington, D.C. (warranty analysis)

CITATIONS OF HONORS

  • Trachtenberg Prize for Faculty Scholarship (1992):
    For significant research contributions and continuing advances in scholarly field.
  • Wilks Award (1984):
    For singular contributions to reliability theory and life testing methodologies, for professional service to the statistics community and for invaluable assistance in solving several important problems in the Department of Defense.
  • American Association for the Advancement of Science (Fellow 1987):
    For outstanding research in the statistical theory of reliability, particularly for theory and practice of software reliability and for the application of Bayesian Statistical theory to expert systems.
  • Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Fellow 1982):
    For excellent contributions to reliability and life testing.
  • American Statistical Association (Fellow 1974):
    For significant contributions to reliability theory, accelerated testing, modelling of air pollution, and application of time series analysis.

PUBLICATIONS

Books

(2006) Reliability and Risk: A Bayesian Perspective. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
(2004) Mathematical Reliability: An Exository Perspective (co-editor). Massachusetts: Kluwer-Norwell Press.
(1999) Statistical Methods in Software Engineering: Reliability and Risk. (with S. P. Wilson). New York: Springer-Verlag.
(1997) Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics. Volume III (co-editor with C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, and R. E. Kass). New York: Springer-Verlag.
(1995) Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics. Volume II (co-editor with C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, and R. E. Kass). New York: Springer-Verlag.
(1993) Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics (co-editor with C. Gatsonis, J. S. Hodges, and R. E. Kass). New York: Springer-Verlag.
(1975) Reliability and Fault Tree Analysis (co-editor with R. E. Barlow and J. B. Fussell). Philadelphia: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.
(1974) Methods for Statistical Analysis of Reliability and Life Data (with N. R. Mann and R. E. Schafer), Applied Probability and Statistics Series. New York: Wiley.
(1970) (Editor), Environmental Engineering Proceedings of the Eighth Annual Meeting of the Society for Engineering Science.

Papers

212. (2015) Adversarial and Amiable Inference in Medical Diagnosis, Reliability, and Survival Analysis (with Arnold, Gastwirth, Gordon and Ng), International Statistical Review. To Appear.
211. (2015) Seeking Relationships in Big Data: A Bayesian Perspective. Serdica Journal of Computing (of the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences). To Appear.
210. (2014) Solving a System of High Dimensional Equations by MCMC (with K. Landon). Perspectives on High Dimensional Data Analysis: Contemporary Mathematics. American Mathematical Society. Vol.622, pp. 11-20.
209. (2014) Adaptive Percolation Using Subjective Likelihoods. Econometric Reviews. 33(1-4) pp. 379-394.
208. (2013) Time Series Regression for Accelerated Testing and Degradation Tracking. Applied Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: Probabilistic Models and Statistical Analysis (I. Frenkel, A. Karagrigoriou, A. Lisniaski, and A. Kleynev, Eds.). John Wiley and Sons, Inc, pp.32-42.
207. (2013) Probabilistic Aspects of Exploration Risk (with A. Hajiyev). Applied Computational Mathematics, V.12, N.1, pp.103-118.
206. (2013) Auditing Shaked and Shanthikumar's Excess Wealth (with A. Gordon). Annals of Operations Research. Published online, Sept. 2012.
205. (2011) A Problem in Particle Physics and its Bayesian Analysis (with J. Landon and F. Lee). Statistical Science. Vol. 26, No. 3, pp. 352-368.
204. (2011) Stochastic Interdependence, Possibility, and Probabilistic Causality. Scientia Iranica, Transactions D: Computer Science and Engineering. Vol. 18, No. 3, pp. 692-694.
203. (2011) Network Routing in a Dynamic Environment. The Annals of Applied Statistics. Vol. 5, No. 2B, pp. 1407-1424.
202. (2011) Anatomy of the Failure Rate: A Mathematical Dissection. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry. Vol. 27, pp. 164-171.
201. (2010) Discussion of “Integrated Objective Bayesian Estimation and Hypothesis Testing” by José Bernardo. Bayesian Statistics 9 (J. M. Bernardo, M. J. Bayarri, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, D. Heckerman, A. F. M. Smith and M. West, Eds.). Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
200. (2010) Network Flow Models for Project Failure Risk. Law, Probability and Risk. Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 131-138.
199. (2010) Discussion of “Reliability Growth Management Metrics and Statistical Methods for Discrete-Use Systems” by Hall, Ellner, and Mosleh. Technometrics. Vol. 52, No. 4, pp. 396-397.
198. (2010) Review of “Reliability, Life Testing, and Prediction of Service Lives: For Engineers and Scientists” by Sam Saunders. Siam Review. Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 214.
197. (2009) Discussion of ‘Understanding the shape of the mixture failure rate’ by Maxim Finkelstein. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry. Vol. 25, No. 6, pp. 665-668.
196. (2009) The Utility of Reliability and Survival. Annals of Applied Statistics. Vol. 3, No. 4, pp. 1581-1596.
195. (2009) A Framework for Adversarial Risk Analysis (with A. Gordon). Proceedings of the 57th Session of the International Statistical Institute. pp. 301.
194. (2008) The Mathematics of Risk and Reliability: A Select History (with S. Wilson). Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment. John Wiley and Sons, Inc., Chichester, UK. pp. 1054-1062.
193. (2008) Many-valued Logic in Multistate and Vague Stochastic Systems (with K. Sellers). The International Statistical Review. Vol. 76, No. 2, pp. 247-267.
192. (2008) Probability, Chance, and the Probability of Chance (with A. Wilson). The IIE Transactions. Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 12-22.
191. (2008) Damage Processes. Encyclopedia of Statistics in Quality and Reliability. (F. Ruggeri et. al., Eds.). John Wiley and Sons, Inc., Chichester, UK.
190. (2008) Choosing a Coverage Probability for Prediction Intervals (with J. Landon). The American Statistician. Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 120-124.
189. (2008) A Bayesian Ponders the Quality of Life (with M. Mesbah). In Statistical Models and Methods for Biomedical and Technical Systems (Vonta, Nikulin, Limnios, and Huber-Carol, Eds.). Birkhouser, pp. 373-384.
188. (2007) Betting on Residual Life: The Caveats of Conditioning. In Statistics & Probability Letters. Vol. 77, No. 12, pp. 1354-1361.
187. (2006) Reliability and Survival in Financial Risk. In Advances in Statistical Modeling and Inference – Essays in Honor of Kjell Doksum (V. Nair, Ed). World Scientific Publications, pp. 93-114.
186. (2006) The Hazard Potential: Introduction and Overview. Journal of American Statistical Association. Vol. 101, No. 476, pp. 1705-1717.
185. (2006) On Competing Risk and Degradation Processes. In The Second Erich L. Lehman Symposium – Optimality. Institute of Mathematical Statistics – Monograph Series, (J. Rojo, Ed.) Vol. 49, pp. 289-304.
184. (2006) Reliability Allocation for Networks and Systems (with J. Falk and Y. Vladmirski). SIAM Review. Vol. 48, No. 1, pp. 43-65.
183. (2005) A Paradigm for Masking (Camouflaging) Information (with S. McNulty and C. Nakhleh). International Statistical Review. Vol. 73, No. 3, pp. 331-349.
182. (2005) Equitable and Adversarial Pricing for Items Under Warranty (with B. Seung). Law, Probability, and Risk. Vol. 4, pp. 51-77.
181. (2005) Decelerated Testing: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach. Technometrics. Vol. 47, No. 4, pp. 468-477.
180. (2004) Commentary on “Taking the Prior Seriously; Bayesian Analysis Without Subjective Probability” by Daniel Goodman. In The Nature of Scientific Evidence (Mark Taper and Subhash Lele, Eds.). pp. 400-401. The University of Chicago Press.
179. (2004) Membership Functions and Probability Measures of Fuzzy Sets (with J. Booker). Journal of the American Statistical Association (with discussion by Dempster, Laviolette, Lindley and Zadeh). Vol. 99, No. 467, pp. 867-877.
178. (2004) When Can Finite Testing Ensure Infinite Trustworthiness? (with P. Wilson). Journal of the Iranian Statistical Society (with discussion by Bernardo, Boland, Cox, Higdon and Nakheh). Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 1-37.
177. (2004) Specifying Interdependence in Networked Systems (with C. Kong). IEEE Transactions in Reliability. Vol. 53, No. 3, pp. 401-405.
176. (2004) Warranty: A Surrogate of Reliability. Mathematical Reliability: An Expository Perspective (Soyer et. al. Eds.). pp. 317-333.
175. (2003) Predicting Damage (with C. W. Kong and A. Swift). Mathematical and Statistical Methods in Reliability 2002 (Lindquist and Dokum, Eds.). World Scientific, pp. 267-282.
174. (2003) Stochastic Process Models for Reliability in Dynamic Environments (with Mazzuchi, Ozekici, and Soyer). Handbook of Statistics (C. R. Rao, and R. Khattre, Eds.). Elsevier Science. Vol. 22, pp. 1109-1129.
173. (2003) Knowledge Management and Information Superiority: A Taxonomy. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. Vol. 115, No. 2, pp. 361-364.
172. (2003) Bayesian Reliability: A Conversational Overview. Conference Tutorial, Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium.
171. (2003) Testing the Untestable: Reliability in the 21st Century (with T. R. Bement, J. M. Booker and S. Keller-McNulty). IEEE Transactions in Reliability. Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 118-124.
170. (2002) Information Fusion for Damage Prediction (with Y. Cui and C. W. Kong). In Case Studies in Reliability and Maintenance (Blischke and Murthy, Eds.). pp. 251-265. John Wiley and Sons, Inc. New York.
169. (2002) Dependence in Network Reliability. Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Information Fusion. IEEE Cat. No. 02EX5997C. pp. 981-985.
168. (2002) On Exchangeable, Causal and Cascading Failures (with Dennis Lindley). Statistical Science. Vol. 17, No. 2, pp. 209-219.
167. (2002) On Causality and Causal Mechanisms. Comment on Dennis Lindley’s “Seeing and Doing: The Concept of Causation” (with discussion by J. Pearl). International Statistical Review. Vol. 70, No. 2, pp. 198-206.
166. (2002) Some Cracks in the Empire of Chance: Flaws in the Foundations of Reliability. International Statistical Review (with discussion by Belyaev, Cox and Spizzichino). Vol. 70, No. 1, pp. 53-78.
165. (2001) Reliability and Life Testing. International Encyclopedia of Social and Behavioral Sciences (Neil Spencer and Paul Baltes, Eds). Pergamon Press, Oxford. pp. 12624-12628.
164. (2001) Network Reliability and Borel’s Paradox (with A. Swift). The American Statistician. Vol. 55, No. 3, pp. 213-218.
163. (2000) Uncertainties and Their Assessments (with J. Booker and T. Bement). Third International Symposium on Soft Computing for Industry, World Automation Congress, Maui, Hawaii.
162. (2000) Book Review of “Statistical Control by Monitoring and Feedback Adjustment”, by George Box and Alberto Luceno, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1997, International Journal of Forecasting. 16, 129-130.
161. (2000) Warranty Contracts and Equilibrium Probabilities. Statistical Science in the Courtroom (J. L. Gastwirth, Ed.). Springer-Verlag. 363-377.
160. (2000) The Point Process Paradox: Where Should We Extend the Conversation? The American Statistician. Vol. 54, No. 2, pp. 119-120.
159. (1999) A Probabilistic Hierarchical Classification Model for Rating Suppliers. Journal of Quality Technology. Vol. 31, No. 4, pp. 444-454.
158. (1999) On a Bivariate Distribution with Exponential Marginals (with S. Kotz). Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. Vol. 26. 451-464.
157. (1999) Book Review of Engineering Reliability by Richard Barlow. IIE Transactions. 31, 581-582.
156. (1998) Discussion of Parmigiani et. al. In Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics. Vol. IV. (Eds. Gatsonis et. al.). Springer Verlag, New York. 192-194.
155. (1998) Failure Models Indexed by Two Scales (with S. Wilson). Advances in Applied Probability. 30, 1058-1072.
154. (1998) Data Fusion and Maintenance Policies for Continuous Production Processes (with Joseph N. Skwish). In Statistical Case Studies, A Collaboration Between Academe and Industry (Peck, Haugh, and Goodman, Eds.). 167-178.
153. (1998) Software Reliability Modeling by Concatenating Failure Rates. Proceedings of the 9th International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (IRRE ’98), IEEE Computer Society, Los Alamitos, California. 106-110.
152. (1998) A Paradigm for Modeling and Tracking Reliability Growth. In Reliability Growth Modeling (K.J. Farquar and A. Mosleh, Eds) pp.121-125. ISSN 1084-5685
151. (1998) An Adaptive Concatenated Failure Rate Model for Software Reliability (with Al-Mutairi, and Y. Chen). Journal of the American Statistical Association. Vol. 93, No. 443, pp. 1150-1163.
150. (1998) A Bayesian Approach for Assessing Software Quality and Productivity (with W. Humphrey). International Journal of Reliability, Quality, and Safety. Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 195-209.
149. (1998) The Stochastic Control of Process Capability Indices (with discussion by Box, Cox and Lindley). Test: A Journal of the Spanish Statistical Society, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 1-74.
148. (1998) Bayesian Assessment of Network Reliability (with N. Lynn and A.F.M. Smith). SIAM Review. Vol. 40, No.2, pp. 202-227.
147. (1997) Burn-in Makes us Feel Good (with N. Lynn). Statistical Science. Vol. 12, No. 1: 13-19.
146. (1997) Gamma Processes and Their Generalizations: An Overview. In Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection (R. Cook, M. Mendel and H. Vrijling, Eds). Kluwer Acad. Publishers, 67-73.
145. (1997) Unification of Software Reliability Models via Self- Exciting Point Processes (with Yiping Chen). Advances in Applied Probability. Vol. 29, No. 2: 337-352.
144. (1997) Calculating the Reserve for a Time and Usage Indexed Warranty (with J. Eliashberg and S. Wilson). Management Science. Vol. 43, No. 7: 966-975.
143. (1996) Probabilistic Aspects of Material Failure (with David Bizup). In Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability (D. M. Frangpol and M. Grigoriu, Eds.), 474-477. American Society of Civil Engineers, New York.
142. (1996) The Notion of “Composite Reliability” and its Hierarchical Bayes Estimation (with Jingxian Chen). Journal of the American Statistical Association. Vol. 91, No. 436: 1474-1484.
141. (1996) The Role of Decision Analysis in Software Engineering (with J. Merrick). In Reliability and Maintenance of Complex Systems (S. Ozekici, Ed.), 368-388. NATO ASI Series. Springer Verlag.
140. (1996) Assessing the Reliability of Software: An Overview (with R. Soyer). In Reliability and Maintenance of Complex Systems (S. Ozekici, Ed.), 345-367. NATO ASI Series. Springer Verlag.
139. (1996) Statistical Aspec ts of Failure Processes in Ceramics (with S. Wilson and E. Fuller). In Bayesian Statistics 5 (J. Berger, J. Bernardo, P. David and A. Smith, Eds), 369-386. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
138. (1996) Forecasting Warranty Claims (with J. Chen and N. Lynn). In Product Warranty Handbook (W. R. Blishke and P. Murthy, Eds), 803-816. Marcel Dekker, Inc. New York.
137. (1996) Entropy and Information in Reliability. In Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Arnold Zellner (D. A. Berry, K. M. Chaloner and J. Geweke, Eds.), 459-469. John Wiley and Sons, New York.
136. (1995) Markov Mesh Models for Filtering and Forecasting with Leading Indicators (with J. Chen and N. Lynn). Analysis of Censored Data (H. L. Koul and J. V. Deshpande, Eds.). IMS Lecture Notes-Monograph Series (1995), Vol. 27, 39-54.
135. (1995) The Assignment of Membership in Capability Maturity Models for Software Production (with J. Merrick). Invited Paper. Proceedings of the 50th Session of The International Statistical Institute, 727-733. Beijing, China.
134. (1995) The Failure Rate of Software: Does it exist?. The IEEE Transactions in Reliability. Vol. 44, No. 3: 463-469.
133. (1995) Survival in Dynamic Environments. Statistical Science. Vol. 10, No. 1: 86-103.
132. (1995) The Exponentiation Formula of Reliability and Survival: Does it always hold? (with S. Wilson). Life Data Analysis. Kluwer Academic Publishers. Vol. 1, 187-194.
131. (1995) Inference and Predictions from Poisson Point Processes Incorporating Expert Knowledge (with Sylvia Campódonico). Journal of the American Statistical Association. Vol. 90, No. 429: 220-226.
130. (1994) Software Reliability Modeling (with Simon Wilson). International Statistical Review. Vol. 62, No. 3: 289-317.
129. (1994) A Non-Gaussian Kalman Filter Model for Tracking Software Reliability (with Yiping Chen). Statistica Sinica. Vol. 4, No. 2: 535-548.
128. (1994) The Signature as a Covariate in Reliability and Biometry (with Sylvia Campódonico). In Aspects of Uncertainty (A. F. M. Smith and P. R. Freeman, Eds.), 119-148. John Wiley and Sons. New York.
127. (1994) Modelling Software Failure Probability/Reliability (with S. Wilson). Hazard Prevention. Vol. 30, No. 3: 14-25.
126. (1994) A Bayesian Analysis of the Logarithmic-Poisson Execution Time Model Based on Expert Opinion and Failure Data (with Sylvia Campódonico). IEEE Transactins in Software Engineering. Vol. 20, No. 9: 677-683.
125. (1994) Control Theory Methods in Product Quality Assurance: An Illustration of Open Loop Control (with J. Chen and P. Murthy). Applied Statistical Science. Vol. 1, No. 3: 263-278.
124. (1994) To Survive or To Fail: That is the Question (with P. Abel). The American Statistician. Vol. 48, No. 1: 18-21.
123. (1993) Multivariate Distributions Induced by Dynamic Environments (with Mark Youngren). Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. Vol. 20: 251-261.
122. (1993) Shannon Information, Bayesian Design and Accelerated Life Testing (with N. Polson and I. Verdinelli). In Reliability and Decision Making (R. E. Barlow, C. A. Clarotti, and F. Spizzichino, Eds), 247-256. London: Chapman and Hall.
121. (1993) Design by Decision Theory: A Unifying Perspective on Taguchi’s Approach to Quality Engineering. Chapter 14 in Reliability and Decision Making (R. E. Barlow, C.A. Clarotti, and F. Spizzichino, Eds.), 267-272. London: Chapman and Hall.
120. (1993) Adversarial Life Testing (with Dennis Lindley). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, Vol. 55, No. 4: 837-847.
119. (1993) Models for Assessing the Reliability of Computer Software, (with Simon Wilson). Naval Research Reviews, Vol. 44, No. 4/Vol. 45, No. 1: 21-29.
118. (1993) Warranties: Their Statistical and Game Theoretic Aspects (with Simon Wilson). SIAM Review, Vol. 35, No. 1: 17-42.
117. (1993) An Eavesdrop on a Chance Encounter of Like Minded Ghosts. In Advances in Reliability (A.P. Basu, Ed.), 459-469. North Holland.
116. (1992) A Bayesian Perspective on Taguchi’s Approach to Quality Engineering and Tolerance Design (with discussion by Barlow and Lindley). Institute for Industrial Engineering Transactions, Vol. 24, No. 5: 18-32.
115. (1992) A Conversation with Boris Vladimirovich Gnedenko (with Richard Smith). Statistical Science, Vol. 7, No. 2: 273-283.
114. (1992) Survival Under Multiple Time Scales in Dynamic Environments. In Survival Analysis: State of the Art (J. P. Klein and P. K. Goel, eds.), 345-354. NATO ASI Series. Kluwer Academic Publishers.
113. (1992) Discussion of Thiruvaiyaru and Basawa’s “Empirical Bayes Estimation for Queueing Systems.” Queueing Systems, Vol. 11: 203-206.
112. (1992) Warranties (with Simon Wilson). In Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. Berger, J. Bernardo, P. David and A. Smith, Eds.), 435-446. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
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58. (1983) Inference from Step-Stress Accelerated Tests (with M. Shaked). Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. Vol. 7: 295-306.
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47. (1982) On the Sample Redundancy and a Test for Exponentiality (with M. Chandra and T. De Wet). Communications in Statistics (Theory and Methods), Vol. 11, No. 4: 429-438.
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44. (1982) The U.S. Army’s (BRL’s) Kinetic Energy Penetrator Problem: Estimating the Probability of Response for a Given Stimulus (with T. A. Mazzuchi). In Proceedings of the 27th Conference on the Design of Experiments in Army Research Development Testing, ARO Report 82-2, 27-59.
43. (1982) An Adaptive Bayesian Scheme for Estimating Reliability Growth Under Exponential Failure Times. In Optimization in Statistics, Vol. 19 of Studies in the Management Sciences. Providence, RI: The Institute of Management Sciences, 281-296.
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SUPERVISIION OF DOCTORAL DISSERTATIONS

AUTHOR DISSERTATION TITLE
1 Robert H. Brown (Ph.D. 1972) “Inequalities for Optimal Sampling when the Payoff is Linear Combination of Order Statistics from Restricted Families”
2 John R. Transue (Ph.D. 1972) “Some Contributions to the Theory of Discrete Uniform Distributions”
3 Chantee Lewis (D.B.A. 1972) “Simultaneous Equation Production Functions (Cobb-Douglas Type) for Decisions Pertaining to Sea-Based Tactical Air Resources”
4 Andrew L. Haines (Ph.D. 1973) “Some Contributions to the Theory of Restricted Classes of Distributions with Applications to Reliability”
5 David V. Mastran (Ph.D. 1973) “On Bayesian Assessments of Coherent Systems”
6 Ernest H. Forman (Ph.D. 1974) “Statistical Models and Methods for Measuring Software Reliability”
7 William Buchanan (Ph.D. 1974) “On the Multivariate Characterization of Wear”
8 Henry D. Kahn (Ph.D. 1977) “The Statistical Analysis of Some Models Used in Accelerated Life Testing”
9 Barry D. Nussbaum (Ph.D. 1977) “A Time Series Analysis of Some Simultaneous Equation Stochastic Models”
10 Harold Balaban (Ph.D. 1978) “A Stochastic Characterization of Failure Processes Under Repair”
11 Mahesh Chandra (Ph.D. 1978) “Some Contributions to the Methodology for Analyzing Failure Data”
12 James W. Johnson (Ph.D. 1980) “A Bayesian Analysis of Flood Flow Data”
13 Man-Yuen Wong (Ph.D. 1980) “Jackknifing Failure Rate Estimators and an Alternate Interpretation of Kernels for Density Estimates”
14 Ernest R. Montagne (Ph.D. 1981) “Robustness of the Exponential Sequential Life Testing Procedure when the Distribution has Monotone Failure Rate”
15 Thomas A. Mazzuchi (Ph.D. 1982) “Some Nonparametric Bayesian Estimates of the Failure Rate Function”
16 Richard J. Meinhold (Ph.D. 1984) “A Bayesian Approach to Robust Kalman Filtering”
17 Louis M. Blackwell II (Ph.D. 1984) “A Kalman Filter Approach to Accelerated Life Testing”
18 Refik Soyer (Ph.D. 1984) “Random Coefficient Autoregressive Processes and their Ramifications: Applications to Reliability Growth Assessment”
19 Michael F. McGrath (Ph.D. 1986) “A Subjective Bayesian Approach to Queueing Theory”
20 Bennett M. Brady (Ph.D. 1987) “Stochastic Positive and Negative Dependence”
21 Mark A. Youngren (Ph.D. 1987) “On Dependent Life Lengths Induced by Dynamic Environments”
22 Khalid Aboura (Ph.D. 1989) “Acceptance Sampling in a Competitive Environment: A Sequential Game”
23 Patricia S. Abel (Ph.D. 1991) “Information and the Design of Life Tests”
24 Sylvia Campodonico (Ph.D. 1993) “The Signature as a Covariate in Reliability and Biometry”
25 Yiping Chen (Ph.D. 1993) “Unification of Software Reliability Models by Self-Exciting Point Processes”
26 Simon Wilson (Ph.D. 1993) “Failure Modeling with Multiple Scales”
27 Jingxian Chen (Ph.D. 1994) “Composite Reliability and Its Hierarchical Bayes Estimation”
28 Nicholas Lynn (Ph.D. 1996) “Distributed Detection with Adversarial and Cooperative Sensors”
29 Yefim Vladimirski (Ph.D. 2000) “Optimum Reliability Allocation”
30 Yuling Cui (Ph.D. 2001) “Information Fusion for Damage Prediction”
31 Andrew W. Swift (Ph.D. 2001) “Stochastic Models of Cascading Failures”
32 Kimberly F. Sellers (Ph.D. 2001) “Vague Coherent Systems”
33 Byeon Seung (Ph.D. 2002) “Altruistic and Adversarial Warranties”
34 Chung Wai Kong (Ph.D. 2002) “Neural Nets for Network Reliability”
35 Faisal Al-Malik (Ph.D. 2003) “Isomorphic Relationships in Financial Risk”
36 Konstantin Gartvig (Ph.D. 2005) “Asset Pricing Under Parameter Uncertainty”
37 Majed Al-Malik(D.Sc. 2006) “Exploration Risk Analysis”
38 Philip Wilson (Ph.D. 2007) “On the Utility of Reliability”
39 Joshua Landon (Ph.D. 2007) “A Problem in Particle Physics and Its Bayesian Analysis”
40 Owen Martin (Ph.D. 2012) “A Dynamic Competing Risk Model for Filtering Reliability and Tracking Survivability.”
41 Anna Gordon (Ph.D. 2012) “The Stochastics of Diagnostic and Threat Dectection Tests”

Last modified on 11 June, 2015